good points, though I'm a bit bothered with your second point here. First of all, I think calling this a single event is reductionist. We're talking about week

good points, though I'm a bit bothered with your second point here. First of all, I think calling this a single event is reductionist. We're talking about weeks- months, even- of experts and non experts warning about this, and the systems of authorities failed completely to react in time. We're not talking about failing to heed an important warning once, we're talking about a long string of choices here. Secondly, This isn't just a prominent case, it is a very important case. Treating this as a series of bernoulli trials with a single (statistically irrelevant) failure is an extremely reductionist model of the reality here. While your conclusion of trusting science, empirical facts and analysis rings true to me, I think we should be wary of overly simplifying the subject matter.