Let me get this straight (all of these are straight from the article): 1) Nembro, in the province of Bergamo, is the municipality most affected by Covid-19 in

Let me get this straight (all of these are straight from the article): 1) Nembro, in the province of Bergamo, is the municipality most affected by Covid-19 in relation to the population. 2) hypothesis - not at all remote - [is] that all citizens of Nembro have caught the virus ... Given the decline seen in the last few days after the peak, flock immunity has likely been attained in Nembro. 3) 158 deaths would equate to a lethality rate of 1%. That is precisely the expected and measured lethality rate ... So, the worst hit city in the worst hit region, with collapsed medical system and elderly population; the absolute upper bound on possible deaths; and we get 1% until herd immunity? This, again, is the upper bound of ultimate worst case, based on the article. Isn't this a huge revision DOWN from the previous 2.5-3-6-8-15% numbers people are throwing around? EDIT: what's up with the silent downvotes? I'm quoting the central number and assumptions directly from the article and asking a question. Should I take it as "you are right but I dislike it"?