Interesting, since prediction markets only give that outcome a 41% probability of happening: https://www.electionbettingodds.com https://www.electionbettingodd

Interesting, since prediction markets only give that outcome a 41% probability of happening: https://www.electionbettingodds.com https://www.electionbettingodds.com I wonder what could explain the discrepancy. This also implies that if you believe the 65% prediction, you could make some money (in expectation) by buying Yes shares for Biden on PredictIt.