Basically optimizations and "modelling" are the reason resource allocations are total failure in the case of rare emergencies, like ongoing. You assume the wors

Basically optimizations and "modelling" are the reason resource allocations are total failure in the case of rare emergencies, like ongoing. You assume the worst "one in a 1000 years" case, multiply by 2..10, depending on your cash flow, and keep allocations up to date. Period. And the simple truth again: you can't immediately allocate during a crisis.