4 ms·
It could be, but then the R0 should be greater than 3. Which is kind of scary.
by elorant 7y ago
It could be, but then the R0 should be greater than 3. Which is kind of scary.
- nicoburns 7y agoHere in the UK, I personally know a lot of people who suspect that they have it, but aren't in official numbers because their symptoms are mild and access to tests is poor. 15% doesn't seem beyond the realm of possibility. Beyond a certain point I think it's actually less scary it's more people have it, no? Because it means that the serious cases are a smaller proportion.
- goatlover 7y agoBut that also means it will spread faster and peak higher, which creates a larger burden on hospitals.
- nicoburns 7y agoSpread faster, yes. But if enough people have it who are not being included in the stats, then I think that means it will peak lower, as it would mean that the percentage of people who need hospital care would be lower than is being assumed.
- marvin 7y agoI know several people in Norway who suspected they had it, got tested and returned negative. Based on this anecdotal information, I wouldn't put too much stock in those kinds of guesses without testing.
- nicoburns 7y agoYeah, that's a good point. Hopefully they'll get testing rolled out here soon!