3 ms·
> North Carolina currently has 91 patients in the hospital for COVID19. The model projected 300-1000 hospitalizations by this point The doubling time is in man
by acqq 7y ago
> North Carolina currently has 91 patients in the hospital for COVID19. The model projected 300-1000 hospitalizations by this point
The doubling time is in many places only 3 days. From my point of view the model which is off by only a week could still be quite correct.
- MR4D 7y agoThe data backs you up. The model projected 437 deaths for March 28th (tolerance bands of 380 - 508). According to [0], the deaths were actually 264. But the model predicted around that only two days prior ( 273 deaths on March 26th). I’d say it’s pretty accurate - off only by a couple days. [0] - https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
- dhimes 7y agoConsidering it was probably two doubling times (I've been seeing 2.77 days or so as well from the jhu site) to write the paper and get it out- working extremely hard.