3 ms·
"if we do nothing to mitigate the pandemic and 1 out of 200 people die," Where does that figure come from? Edit: also, I think 1 in 200 is very, very roughly
by perl4ever 7y ago
"if we do nothing to mitigate the pandemic and 1 out of 200 people die,"
Where does that figure come from?
Edit: also, I think 1 in 200 is very, very roughly 5-10 times all other infectious diseases in a normal year. So maybe that would provide perspective.
- nroets 7y agoLet me rephrase it: If governments does nothing, 1 out of 200 people will die. This study expects 510,000 people to die in the UK (depending on the R0 value) and 2200000 in the US. That's 1 in 135. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s... It will be between 1 in 200 and 1 in 100.