I strongly distrust any figures from pretty much any country without a complete and transparent testing regimen - (Hi South Korea, you know what you're doing!).

I strongly distrust any figures from pretty much any country without a complete and transparent testing regimen - (Hi South Korea, you know what you're doing!). The wide variance of testing protocols, even within countries - is going to kill our ability to really do much with these numbers. I'd be far more interested in _death_ rates. I.e., what was the normal death rate, and what is it now? It's not sexy, it needs to be seasonally adjusted, and it's subject to noise, but it's a much better heuristic than "covid case", because the base number isn't as gameable.