The analysis that is claimed (1) to have affected the change in the Covid-19 policy of the British government: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-colleg

The analysis that is claimed (1) to have affected the change in the Covid-19 policy of the British government: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s... is by Neil M Ferguson et al. 16 March 2020 Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team DOI: https://doi.org/10.25561/77482 https://doi.org/10.25561/77482 "Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand" In my opinion, the experts were aware of the problems in approach of many governments, but the governments managed to do what they wanted (pretend nothing is happening) for too long. Also in my opinion, the smaller players believed too much to the most influential one, which has a specific history of bluffing. That even works in social contexts, but, in the words of Richard Feynman eventually: "reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." 1) E.g. The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/new-data-new-policy-why-uks-coronavirus-strategy-has-changed https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/new-data-new-p...