Monty Hall himself wrote to the Harvard C.S. Professor Lawrence Denenberg questioning the counter-intuitive logic: > https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/

Monty Hall himself wrote to the Harvard C.S. Professor Lawrence Denenberg questioning the counter-intuitive logic: > https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/373/the-monty-hall-problem-where-does-our-intuition-fail-us/23674#23674 https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/373/the-monty-hall... ____ The topic of the counter-intuitive nature of probability reminds of Newton's letter to Pepys - "In 1693, Isaac Newton answered a query from Samuel Pepys about a problem involving dice. Newton’s analysis is discussed and attention is drawn to an error he made." Here is the classic Newton-Pepys Problem http://www.datagenetics.com/blog/february12014/ http://www.datagenetics.com/blog/february12014/ Here is the Newton-Pepys problem explained by Professor Joe Blitzstein in the Harvard class Stats110: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7NE4WF8j-Q&feature=youtu.be.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7NE4WF8j-Q&feature=youtu.be.... Here is further discussion about the logical error Newton made in his solution: http://arxiv.org/pdf/math/0701089.pdf http://arxiv.org/pdf/math/0701089.pdf