2 ms·
> If it's a good idea now, it's going to be twice as good of an idea in three days. If I had a crystal ball, six months ago we could’ve picked a good date. But
by mxcrossb 7y ago
> If it's a good idea now, it's going to be twice as good of an idea in three days.
If I had a crystal ball, six months ago we could’ve picked a good date. But that doesn’t mean I should have shut things down sixth months ago. We’re asking our governments to look ahead and make decisions.
- asdfasgasdgasdg 7y agoShutting things down six months ago would have had no beneficial effect. Closing national borders globally in January would have had an extremely beneficial effect, in that domestic economies could have proceeded normally while China eradicated the infection. At the current point, there's really nothing to balance. Every extra day you're open is an extra several days you'll need to remain closed, and an extra 1.2-1.4x lives lost. Closing later is strictly worse than closing now.