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> Then this development means the beginning of the end of the pandemic. The end of the pandemic, even with this, is still going to be a lot more complicated. Z
by klenwell 7y ago
> Then this development means the beginning of the end of the pandemic.
The end of the pandemic, even with this, is still going to be a lot more complicated. Zooming out a bit:
The third scenario is that the world plays a protracted game of whack-a-mole with the virus, stamping out outbreaks here and there until a vaccine can be produced. This is the best option, but also the longest and most complicated.
It depends, for a start, on making a vaccine. If this were a flu pandemic, that would be easier. The world is experienced at making flu vaccines and does so every year. But there are no existing vaccines for coronaviruses—until now, these viruses seemed to cause diseases that were mild or rare—so researchers must start from scratch. The first steps have been impressively quick. Last Monday, a possible vaccine created by Moderna and the National Institutes of Health went into early clinical testing. That marks a 63-day gap between scientists sequencing the virus’s genes for the first time and doctors injecting a vaccine candidate into a person’s arm. “It’s overwhelmingly the world record,” Fauci said.
But it’s also the fastest step among many subsequent slow ones.
From https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-will-coronavirus-end/608719/ https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-will-.... That's the optimistic case per Ed Yong.
You acknowledge you're looking at an optimistic scenario. I hope everything breaks as smoothly as you imagine.
Looking at the record of the US Federal response thus far, if anything like this level of optimism was warranted, we almost assuredly wouldn't be in the mess we are at the moment.