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Coronavirus modelers factor in public health risk: Accusations work is a hoax
- cmurf 7y agoShortened from: Coronavirus modelers factor in new public health risk: Accusations their work is a hoax Originally found on Marc Lipsitch's twitter: https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243593174985117697 https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243593174985117697 This is also a good thread explaining modeling complexities: https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243347447537115136 https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243347447537115136
- klingonopera 7y ago> "This chart shows the double-humped peaks of deaths during the 1918 flu in St. Louis. The city imposed strict restrictions early on but loosened them under pressure from its citizens, only to see deaths jump again." Yeah, I don't know about that, that's pushing to imply that the second peak is due to lifting the restrictions, but it also coincides with winter and colder temperatures, and maybe more people freezing or hungering to death due to the consequences of the restrictions imposed that cascaded into the economy as well. EDIT: Or is that actually statistically proven? The chart shows overmortality, not deaths from the flu, without additional information, it's all up to interpretation.