3 ms·
99% of cases are mild as per Korea's data, so no, we would not have 10% mortality
by bagacrap 7y ago
99% of cases are mild as per Korea's data, so no, we would not have 10% mortality
- jeremyjh 7y agoYou can have a 1% CFR if your health services are functioning. The point is that they won't be if everyone gets it at the same time. In any case 99% are not mild; at least 20% are serious and require medical intervention. If you stop treating them...they die.
- DeonPenny 7y agoThe data doesn't show 20% need medical treatment. 1% need that. 19% are getting as sick as the flu at most. 80% literally couldn't tell if they were sick or not.
- xref 7y agoI haven’t seen any numbers of confirmed infections that match a 1% hospitalization rate. Heck I haven’t even seen an ICU rate that low. Have a link?
- bagacrap 7y agohttps://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-korea/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-kore... 99% of active cases in Korea are mild. There is some difference between countries in terms of reporting but typically "mild" indicates no hospitalization, "severe" requires hospitalization and "critical" indicates ICU. It's hard to estimate true hospitalization rate when you don't know the spread of the disease, and we don't have good data for that anywhere. But here is a repo with the data we do have: https://github.com/beoutbreakprepared/nCoV2019 https://github.com/beoutbreakprepared/nCoV2019