This is very misleading. According to the citations, it is based on and R0 of around 2.3, while the latest indication from Imperial College is an R0 of > 3 acco

This is very misleading. According to the citations, it is based on and R0 of around 2.3, while the latest indication from Imperial College is an R0 of > 3 according to https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-intensive-care-units-for-coronavirus-expert-predicts/ https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-i.... The fatality rate is also most like lower considering that high of R0 (to account for observed fatalities in countries like Italy).