3 ms·
> of the known data, the only reliable one is the death rate Back of the napkin numbers to get someone's attention: deaths today / CFR of 0.009 = cases th
by Terretta 7y ago
> of the known data, the only reliable one is the death rate
Back of the napkin numbers to get someone's attention:
deaths today / CFR of 0.009 = cases three weeks ago
cases three weeks ago * 7 three day doublings = cases today
In much more detail:
http://hyperdrive.ca/coronavirus/index.php http://hyperdrive.ca/coronavirus/index.php
And in the "4 out of 5 dentists agree" category:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/experts-say-the-coronavirus-outlook-has-worsened-but-the-trajectory-is-still-unclear/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/experts-say-the-coronav...