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> Infection rates are already significant, there just aren't enough people to sustain two months' growth. This is wrong, of course there are enough people for
by willyt 7y ago
> Infection rates are already significant, there just aren't enough people to sustain two months' growth.
This is wrong, of course there are enough people for this to grow for months even with no containment efforts.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...
- oldgradstudent 7y agoThat model is 10 days old, and already out of date. Look at the one they've released yesterday. Again, these models are not robust to minor changes in their assumptions.