That's not fear mongering at all. It's the truth in several areas that were infected early. Spread is exponential and ICU is at the median 14 days from exposure

That's not fear mongering at all. It's the truth in several areas that were infected early. Spread is exponential and ICU is at the median 14 days from exposure. You would expect the highest density and earliest sites to see overwhelmed ICUs there. That's going to happen everywhere in the next few weeks and months. The idea you are discounting anonymous sources is ill-founded given this is realtime in healthcare (in which being on record as a source could be an employment risk) and agrees with every analysis, including the briefings from the military and intelligence community given to the president in January and February. It also agrees with analyses of this specific situation, which almost exactly the archetype of the type of pandemic people were concerned about. I suspect Florida and Louisiana are next. You are also incorrectly aggregating data and not looking at local demographic and healthcare coverage. Beds and ICUs are not evenly distributed. There was a rural healthcare crisis before COVID-19 and the demographics were older with more CFR associated comorbities, too. VA outside of NoVA, WVa, AL, KY, southern OH, MO, AK, AR... it's just a matter of time.