4 ms·
The number of deaths is hard to judge but as for >Assuming cases double every 5 days, then multiply that by 2^4, therefore: ... you're not allowed to assume t
by logicallee 7y ago
The number of deaths is hard to judge but as for
>Assuming cases double every 5 days, then multiply that by 2^4, therefore:
... you're not allowed to assume that. It means on April 26th two thirds of all Americans (204.8 million）will be infected.
- PeterisP 7y agoYou can assume that as long as you're far below saturation. Yes, the logistic curve comes to play at some point, slowing down the spread, stopping at some large proportion of the population - it's plausible that two thirds of Americans will be infected, but that will take longer. However, until the total number of infected is less than, say, 10% of total population, it certainly makes sense to just use the average doubling rate.