Except that the US isn't composed of 327 million 39 year olds, it's composed of a fairly even mix of people of various ages. If you multiply the case fatality r

Except that the US isn't composed of 327 million 39 year olds, it's composed of a fairly even mix of people of various ages. If you multiply the case fatality rates from your link [1] by the population in each age bracket [2], you come up with a projected CFR of about 1.8% in the US, assuming that a similar fraction of people in each age range are infected. Age | US Pop | CFR | Est Deaths if | | | 100% infected --------+--------+-------+-------------- 0 - 9 | 40.01M | 0.0% | 0.00M 10 - 19 | 41.97M | 0.2% | 0.08M 20 - 29 | 45.43M | 0.2% | 0.09M 30 - 39 | 43.63M | 0.2% | 0.09M 40 - 49 | 40.46M | 0.4% | 0.16M 50 - 59 | 42.83M | 1.3% | 0.56M 60 - 69 | 37.41M | 3.6% | 1.35M 70 - 79 | 22.66M | 8.0% | 1.81M 80+ | 12.68M | 14.8% | 1.88M --------+--------+-------+-------------- Total |327.08M | 1.8% | 6.02M 1.4% is believable with those numbers. 0.06% is not plausible at all in the context of those numbers. [1] https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus [2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the-us-by-sex-and-age/ https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the...