3 ms·

I'm not sure why you're being downvoted, but the hard facts are that the volatility of the situation is very high - by that I mean that a large range of outcome

I'm not sure why you're being downvoted, but the hard facts are that the volatility of the situation is very high - by that I mean that a large range of outcomes is possible. And the long tail is both possible and daunting.

dredmorbius 7y ago
As my initial projection post makes clear, I'd fully expected the trend to have fallen well below projection by. now. It hasn't.