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> We failed to understand that complex systems defy simplistic reductionism. That reads like anti intellectual mumbo-jumbo to me. What complex system [0] are w
by svara 7y ago
> We failed to understand that complex systems defy simplistic reductionism.
That reads like anti intellectual mumbo-jumbo to me. What complex system [0] are we talking about? There aren't very many feedback loops in the dynamics of a pathogen invading a totally susceptible population. That's the whole problem. The main one that comes to mind is the lock downs that are being put in place everywhere now - once you already have a big issue.
I fully agree that a lot of people don't understand the severity of a pathogen spreading exponentially as long as the absolute numbers look low. But there are more than enough people who do, who can give solid advice in that kind of situation. These people have been really concerned since late January at the very least.
If they weren't heard, that's the problem.
[0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Complex_system https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Complex_system
- gdubs 7y agoThe entire article is about the various cascading effects, from an overwhelmed healthcare system with reduced capacity to handle normal emergencies and elective procedures (which will have a long term effect on people’s health), to manufactures not making certain items because they have to respond quickly to more pressing concerns (and the delayed crisis that may cause in other areas).
- heavenlyblue 7y ago> These people have been really concerned since late January at the very least. I would say another 90% of these people are concerned all the time because they are smart yet emotionally immature. Tl;dr: if your society is going to be owned by pandemic there’s a bunch of doctors working in healthcare who will figure it out; so starting isolation early on will lead to people ignoring you when it actually hits us