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It's quite complex, and (though certainly neither is an expert) the words of Cuomo and Trump overlap to a considerable degree. Economic damage absolutely will
by downerending 7y ago
It's quite complex, and (though certainly neither is an expert) the words of Cuomo and Trump overlap to a considerable degree. Economic damage absolutely will kill people--a lot of people.
Total lockdown probably will save some people, but it's hard to really know at this point. It may turn out that most people are going to get the virus, and that the number who die will actually turn out to be fairly invariant with respect to whatever actions governments take.
Even if we had a truly brilliant scientist who had all of the information that's presently known, I doubt the call would be obvious. Just too many unknowns.
- bryanlarsen 7y ago> It may turn out that most people are going to get the virus China is good (but definitely not conclusive) evidence that a total lockdown can stop the virus.
- downerending 7y agoIt appears to be an impressive result, so far. What's less clear is what happens after they release the lockdown, which must inevitably happen. Flattening the curve to a fair degree was very likely worth doing. But it could happen that like the common cold, this will ultimately pass through the entire population, and there simply might not be much we can do about it. My guess is that we're still in the first act of this play. It might take a decade or more to gain real insight. Right now we have to guess.