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Look at hospitalizations, not confirmed cases. NY state is projecting a peak in 2 weeks with rather effective social distancing and lockdown measures and the pe
by danharaj 7y ago
Look at hospitalizations, not confirmed cases. NY state is projecting a peak in 2 weeks with rather effective social distancing and lockdown measures and the peak will still overwhelm ICU's and # of hospital beds. States that aren't taking this seriously will see a much larger peak later and won't have the medical resources NYS has.
- derision 7y agoOhio has the Cleveland Clinic and University Hospitals which are some of the best hospitals in the country, if not the world. Social distancing and shelter in place has been extremely effective here. A nurse that I know said the hospital he works in currently has no coronavirus cases in ICU. I think in some places where population density is extremely high this will continue to be a huge issue, but in many other places (I'm in the Cleveland area) I think things are already close to the peak
- danharaj 7y agoOhio had a very good response too! https://www.cleveland.com/news/2020/03/compare-coronavirus-cases-in-ohio-michigan.html https://www.cleveland.com/news/2020/03/compare-coronavirus-c... When dealing with exponential functions, linear increases in effort early on lead to extremely large differences in outcomes later on. Our intuition is not very well equipped to understand this sort of situation.