Very good point. Most people do not include counter-factuals in their thought process. I would go further and propose that not only do most people not even kn

Very good point. Most people do not include counter-factuals in their thought process. I would go further and propose that not only do most people not even know what counter-factuals are, but many of them would be extremely psychologically resistant to the very idea. A similar example of this is: go into a forum, find someone who is predicting the future, point out to them that they are predicting the future, and observe the result. Now do this 100 or 1000 times and keep track of your results. "But this is just people being stupid!" I disagree. Yes, it is indeed people being stupid....but is it "just" that?