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Yes, literally showing at night might make a difference. So many things: maybe they regularly clean the handles on doors. Maybe the restaurants always use a di
by jariel 7y ago
Yes, literally showing at night might make a difference.
So many things: maybe they regularly clean the handles on doors. Maybe the restaurants always use a disinfectant wipe. Maybe people 'stay at home' more regularly if they are sick.
There's a really powerful EpiCurve calculator someone at OpenAI published - and the most interesting thing is how sensitive everything is to R0. R0 1.8 v. 2.2 is just a huge difference.
If 'social distancing' brings it down some, but then 'showing at night' nudges it a little bit lower, voila, noticeably less spread.
It's going to take a very keen measure of variables, in fact, it's going to take a keen observation of culture to even figure out what those variables are.
Sadly, I don't have faith we'll ever get there.