3 ms·

I should have anticipated this response as it’s become as much of a meme as has “it’s just a flu.” We’re flattening the curve too much here in Seattle. There

I should have anticipated this response as it’s become as much of a meme as has “it’s just a flu.” We’re flattening the curve too much here in Seattle. There are 100 new cases identified each day. So we’ve flattened the curve to last... 60 years of quarantine. We need to curve the curve. But instead they announced more restrictions.

JumpCrisscross 7y ago
> There is 100 new cases identified each day Out of those tested. A minuscule fraction of the population is being tested. Case count is massively undrepresecnts the current infected and thus future near-morbid. The evidence for this is in the increasing case count even among the sample being tested. China is getting back to normal life after a seemingly-effective program of quarantine and testing. Korea and Taiwan look similar. Refusing to quarantine early enough, long enough and resolutely enough leaves us looking like Italy. Far more damaging and chaotic for the economy and civic society.
- nostromo 7y ago
  Actually testing has gone up exponentially in Seattle. But we’re still finding a flat line of infections. Which suggests it’s slowed dramatically. That sounds like good news, but we’re seemingly past containment, so it does seem like we’re kicking the can down the road.
  - JumpCrisscross 7y ago
    > testing has gone up exponentially in Seattle Still an immaterial fraction of the population being tested. > we’re seemingly past containment Containment has failed. Doing nothing after containment is a good way to decimate one's population and cause it lasting economic harm.
marnett 7y ago
It is remarkable how quickly the arguments bifurcate around any subject matter now-a-days. The solution needs to be a balance of public health policy and economic policy. The layoffs will only get worse now through Q2; perhaps the zeitgeist will shift when SV and tech is impacted more severely.
phaemon 7y ago
So you think the number of cases in Washington will hold around 100 cases a day over the next few weeks?

JumpCrisscross 7y ago

> There is 100 new cases identified each day Out of those tested. A minuscule fraction of the population is being tested. Case count is massively undrepresecnts the current infected and thus future near-morbid. The evidence for this is in the increasing case count even among the sample being tested. China is getting back to normal life after a seemingly-effective program of quarantine and testing. Korea and Taiwan look similar. Refusing to quarantine early enough, long enough and resolutely enough leaves us looking like Italy. Far more damaging and chaotic for the economy and civic society.

nostromo 7y ago
Actually testing has gone up exponentially in Seattle. But we’re still finding a flat line of infections. Which suggests it’s slowed dramatically. That sounds like good news, but we’re seemingly past containment, so it does seem like we’re kicking the can down the road.
- JumpCrisscross 7y ago
  > testing has gone up exponentially in Seattle Still an immaterial fraction of the population being tested. > we’re seemingly past containment Containment has failed. Doing nothing after containment is a good way to decimate one's population and cause it lasting economic harm.

marnett 7y ago

It is remarkable how quickly the arguments bifurcate around any subject matter now-a-days. The solution needs to be a balance of public health policy and economic policy. The layoffs will only get worse now through Q2; perhaps the zeitgeist will shift when SV and tech is impacted more severely.

phaemon 7y ago

So you think the number of cases in Washington will hold around 100 cases a day over the next few weeks?