4 ms·
Italian here. The most probable cause for that is that these areas started being affected earlier, so the virus had more time to spread before the lockdown.
by panta 7y ago
Italian here. The most probable cause for that is that these areas started being affected earlier, so the virus had more time to spread before the lockdown.
- pjc50 7y agoI've seen the claim that northern Italy's manufacturing industry is more integrated with China, so there was more cross traffic. I don't know how true this is.
- panta 7y agoFor sure it’s more integrated than southern Italy, but I don’t know and can’t speak about other EU countries. It’s entirely possible the higher traffic brought in the first asymptomatic cases earlier than in other regions.
- dnautics 7y agoThat doesn't affect cfr, which was higher even before the hospitals got overwhelmed. I suppose it's possible that Italian doctors are just generally bad, but I doubt that.
- panta 7y agoCFR is affected by the methodology with which you count the positive cases. Italy is badly underestimating the number of affected people (the head of the Civil Protection service says that we could have 10 times more cases than those accounted for). In Italian: https://tg24.sky.it/cronaca/2020/03/24/coronavirus-borrelli-intervista.html https://tg24.sky.it/cronaca/2020/03/24/coronavirus-borrelli-... https://www.globalist.it/science/2020/03/22/crisanti-epidemia-di-coronavirus-in-italia-numeri-inesatti-male-contenimento-e-monitoraggio-di-positivi-2054890.html https://www.globalist.it/science/2020/03/22/crisanti-epidemi...