3 ms·

Weirdly enough, just yesterday I took all available sequence data currently on GISAID, used it to estimate R0, and got ... 1.3.

• ChrisCinelli 7y ago
  Intersting. Can you post what you did maybe on a Jupyter notebook?
• watwut 7y ago
  The imperial college had it estimated 2.1 - 3.3 before "stay at home" measures. Obligatory influenza is 1.5.
• CydeWeys 7y ago
  If that were true then how can you possibly explain how rapidly the pandemic is spreading?
  • rimliu 7y ago
    Long time to spread.
  • marknutter 7y ago
    It's curiously spreading at the exact same rate that tests are being administered. Curious indeed..
    • deleted 7y ago
      [deleted]
• Izkata 7y ago
  Maybe you got the terminology mixed up like I had? `* 1.3` is just about the growth rate per day, which isn't R0.