There's a tonne of speculation about CFR still at this time. Maybe I'm hyperbolic, but there are still ~1,500 serious/critical cases in China which is 1/3rd of

There's a tonne of speculation about CFR still at this time. Maybe I'm hyperbolic, but there are still ~1,500 serious/critical cases in China which is 1/3rd of all active cases. I have a feeling like the 4% CFR is high here because many of the COVID cases became clinical diagnoses instead of rtPCR; in other words, the Chinese physicians started using CT scans and clinical presentation to diagnose COVID instead of testing. Normal viral pneumonia diagnostic criteria is a chest radiograph and clinically compatible features (e.g. fever, cough, dyspnea, etc.). My take away is that they probably ran out of test kits and therefore many asymptomatic patients are out there. As time progresses I have a feeling that the official CFR in China is going to spike soon when they start deciding to take people of ventilators, unless the CCP decides to pour massive resources into keeping these patients alive. Regardless, I have a feeling like the number of deaths/resolved is significantly lower than what it actually is and I wanted to nerd out here for a second because I love talking about medicine. Edit: I want to say that I still think that we should be taking this entire pandemic seriously and am in no way commenting on this article's suggestion that we are in anyway over/underreacting. I'm making a comment on CFR.