3 ms·
> Money is being temporarily created and lent What is your definition of temporary? QE 1/2/3 were each supposed to be temporary. But each one was never enough,
by daxorid 7y ago
> Money is being temporarily created and lent
What is your definition of temporary? QE 1/2/3 were each supposed to be temporary. But each one was never enough, and fed smoothly into the next. Then they finally tried reducing their balance sheet and the repo market blew up. Then "Not QE" repo support was supposed to last two weeks. Then only a few months. Now "only" a year, and at a trillion dollars overnight and half that in 14 day operations. How certain are you that at year's end, overnight repo support will be less than $1T? On which track record of correct predictions from central bankers do you base this belief?
Since 2008, there's not a single Fed dot plot that has been even remotely accurate even six months out. SIX MONTHS. These people have absolutely zero credibility. They lied to you about the duration of QE 1/2/3, they lied to you about the duration of ZIRP, they lied to you about the direction and duration of rate hikes, they lied to you about repo market support amount and duration. During all this, they steadily changed their mandate from "price stability", to "some inflation", to "2% inflation", to "2% symmetric inflation", to "greater than 2% symmetric inflation".
But this time, with QE4, they're super cereal pinky swear scouts honor giving you every reason to believe that it's temporary.
Okay.