3 ms·
You may be interested in the concept of "Lizardman's Constant" [0], the idea that for statistical purposes, it is not worth trying to separate out people who ge
by lidHanteyk 7y ago
You may be interested in the concept of "Lizardman's Constant" [0], the idea that for statistical purposes, it is not worth trying to separate out people who genuinely believe in lizard people from people who are dog-whistling, stupid, misled, or enacting Poe's Law. You may also be interested in Poe's Law [1], come to think of it.
For everyday Bayesian purposes, it is very useful to simply know as a prior that there is roughly a 1-in-25 chance that you are being bullshitted.
[0] https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poe%27s_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poe%27s_law