3 ms·

You can't extrapolate the spread of viruses using an exponential function, you have to use a logistic function. Unfortunately, there isn't enough data to accura

You can't extrapolate the spread of viruses using an exponential function, you have to use a logistic function. Unfortunately, there isn't enough data to accurately fit a logistic function right now.

jgalt212 7y ago
Tell that to the "shutdown the world people". The entire basis of this response is the exponential function.
- 2snakes 7y ago
  With physical distancing, it may be exponential at first, but then taper off, like it did in Wuhan: https://www.calcalistech.com/ctech/articles/0,7340,L-3800632,00.html https://www.calcalistech.com/ctech/articles/0,7340,L-3800632...
perl4ever 7y ago
My mathematical intuition may not be any good, but if you are saying it will be a sigmoid type curve, would doubling the time be plausible? But this is not in disagreement with my comment, since this would involve slowing down.