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I estimated a few years back that with China's continuing growth larger than the US's, the crossover date when China would be the strongest nation would be abou
by simonblack 7y ago
I estimated a few years back that with China's continuing growth larger than the US's, the crossover date when China would be the strongest nation would be about 2025.
To prevent that, the US in its Thucydides Trap (alternatively, its Wolfowitz Doctrine) would need to initiate a conflict with China about 5 years earlier (so, 2020) otherwise it would have no guarantee of winning that conflict, and would probably be destroyed completely.
Wars in the Northern Hemisphere need to kick off in Spring (Mar 21) at best, or Summer (June 21) at the latest. If the US doesn't start a war with China in the next 3 months, it will have missed the boat.