3 ms·

To not downplay the severity of the virus, even if a young person were to recover from Covid-19, s/he may experience reduced lung capacity for several years. Th

by esturk 7y ago

To not downplay the severity of the virus, even if a young person were to recover from Covid-19, s/he may experience reduced lung capacity for several years. There are many sources online based on SARS and here's one: https://thorax.bmj.com/content/60/5/401 https://thorax.bmj.com/content/60/5/401

arcticbull 7y ago
based on SARS is not useful. Until we get COVID-19 specific data that means nothing. 15% of the common cold is attributable to coronoaviridae and that very much doesn't cause these problems. Just because you see something in SARS-COV-1 doesn't mean you'll see it in SARS-COV-2. SARS-COV-1 has a fatality rate of 15% overall and 50% in over-65s [1] and MERS have death rates approaching 35% [2]. Until we see actual reports of this in the wild directly attributable to SARS-COV-2 we shouldn't really extrapolate. Otherwise it's as useful as saying "based on the fact 15% of the common cold is attributable to coronaviridae, get out there and have fun" or "based on the fact MERS and SARS-COV-2 are both coronaviridae 35% of people are going to die." [1] http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2003/05/estimates-sars-death-rates-revised-upward http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2003/05/estimates... [2] https://www.who.int/emergencies/mers-cov/en/ https://www.who.int/emergencies/mers-cov/en/
seppel 7y ago
If this is true, then things like FlattenTheCurve are the wrong approach. We would need StopThatShit asap.
- arcticbull 7y ago
  > if this is true No evidence at all yet. > then things like FlattenTheCurve are the wrong approach... #FlattenTheCurve is an acquiescence that everyone's going to get it, they just want to slow it down. > We would need StopThatShit asap. If that were possible at this point that would be plan of record, it's not.

3 ms·

To not downplay the severity of the virus, even if a young person were to recover from Covid-19, s/he may experience reduced lung capacity for several years. Th

by esturk 7y ago

arcticbull 7y ago
based on SARS is not useful. Until we get COVID-19 specific data that means nothing. 15% of the common cold is attributable to coronoaviridae and that very much doesn't cause these problems. Just because you see something in SARS-COV-1 doesn't mean you'll see it in SARS-COV-2. SARS-COV-1 has a fatality rate of 15% overall and 50% in over-65s [1] and MERS have death rates approaching 35% [2]. Until we see actual reports of this in the wild directly attributable to SARS-COV-2 we shouldn't really extrapolate. Otherwise it's as useful as saying "based on the fact 15% of the common cold is attributable to coronaviridae, get out there and have fun" or "based on the fact MERS and SARS-COV-2 are both coronaviridae 35% of people are going to die." [1] http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2003/05/estimates-sars-death-rates-revised-upward http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2003/05/estimates... [2] https://www.who.int/emergencies/mers-cov/en/ https://www.who.int/emergencies/mers-cov/en/
seppel 7y ago
If this is true, then things like FlattenTheCurve are the wrong approach. We would need StopThatShit asap.
- arcticbull 7y ago
  > if this is true No evidence at all yet. > then things like FlattenTheCurve are the wrong approach... #FlattenTheCurve is an acquiescence that everyone's going to get it, they just want to slow it down. > We would need StopThatShit asap. If that were possible at this point that would be plan of record, it's not.