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Dr. Fauci is saying it's likely to have flu-like seasonality. Though it's not known for sure yet. And current expert consensus is in line with that, putting th
by Reedx 7y ago
Dr. Fauci is saying it's likely to have flu-like seasonality. Though it's not known for sure yet.
And current expert consensus is in line with that, putting the odds at 73% for a 2nd wave in the fall:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/infectious-disease-experts-dont-know-how-bad-the-coronavirus-is-going-to-get-either/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/infectious-disease-expe...
- asveikau 7y agoI thought there were cases in the southern hemisphere where it's currently summer.
- dboreham 7y agoThere are flu cases in summer, just not as many as winter. Without a control country to compare we don't know if Australia would have many more cases were it winter there.
- asveikau 7y agoWikipedia says there are more than 3,000 cases in south america. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_South_America https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in...
- alkonaut 7y agoLayman relaying what I read in an ElI5: R0 goes down with rising temps and humidity. Covid has a pretty high R0 to begin with, so unlike flu and colds that almost disappear in summer, covid will most likely be slightly less contagious than in winter (people being more outdoors helps too). That’s not enough to make it not spread in warm countries now, but it will likely help some bad areas in colder climates such as New York or Germany.
- jsjohnst 7y agoHave you not heard of someone having the flu in the summer? It’s possible, just less common than during winter months. We suspect the same for Covid-19.