3 ms·

Yeah maybe it'll be in place for next time. But this looks to be about a once in a century event. It happened in 1917 and happening now. I doubt we'll handle

Yeah maybe it'll be in place for next time. But this looks to be about a once in a century event. It happened in 1917 and happening now. I doubt we'll handle it better in 2115.

mbreese 7y ago
I don’t know about that. A lot of lessons were learned in the 1918 flu pandemic that were applied here. For example, I’ve seen the comparison between the Philadelphia and St Louis responses multiple times in how governments were reacting. I’m sure there will be lessons here too. The difference in response of between countries is one obvious comparison. But I think another lesson will be how the virus spread globally. With this virus, we have much more information about how the virus was able to spread globally so quickly.
- JamesBarney 7y ago
  I've seen the Philadelphia versus St. Louis response, and I guess that may have informed a couple of decisions. But I think we already knew large gatherings are bad when a pandemic is afoot. Any other examples?
SkyMarshal 7y ago
The rate of these things will likely accelerate now that the world is far more interconnected. We’ve had a few scares already - SARS, MERS, Ebola 2014. This is the first one that really went global, but probably won’t be the last for another hundred years.
- JamesBarney 7y ago
  I don't think the lack of pandemics on the scale of the coronavirus/spanish flu for the last 100 years has been a lack of connectivity. The coronavirus would have played out the same in the 40s as today, except it probably would have been worse in the 1940's. The reasons we haven't had one in 100 years is we haven't had the right virus. Now will we have another in the next 100 years? I don't think anyone knows what the base rate for 1918/coronavirus style viruses are, but there is no reason to think it will happen more frequently than the last 100.

3 ms·

Yeah maybe it'll be in place for next time. But this looks to be about a once in a century event. It happened in 1917 and happening now. I doubt we'll handle

by JamesBarney 7y ago

Yeah maybe it'll be in place for next time. But this looks to be about a once in a century event. It happened in 1917 and happening now. I doubt we'll handle it better in 2115.

mbreese 7y ago
I don’t know about that. A lot of lessons were learned in the 1918 flu pandemic that were applied here. For example, I’ve seen the comparison between the Philadelphia and St Louis responses multiple times in how governments were reacting. I’m sure there will be lessons here too. The difference in response of between countries is one obvious comparison. But I think another lesson will be how the virus spread globally. With this virus, we have much more information about how the virus was able to spread globally so quickly.
- JamesBarney 7y ago
  I've seen the Philadelphia versus St. Louis response, and I guess that may have informed a couple of decisions. But I think we already knew large gatherings are bad when a pandemic is afoot. Any other examples?
SkyMarshal 7y ago
The rate of these things will likely accelerate now that the world is far more interconnected. We’ve had a few scares already - SARS, MERS, Ebola 2014. This is the first one that really went global, but probably won’t be the last for another hundred years.
- JamesBarney 7y ago
  I don't think the lack of pandemics on the scale of the coronavirus/spanish flu for the last 100 years has been a lack of connectivity. The coronavirus would have played out the same in the 40s as today, except it probably would have been worse in the 1940's. The reasons we haven't had one in 100 years is we haven't had the right virus. Now will we have another in the next 100 years? I don't think anyone knows what the base rate for 1918/coronavirus style viruses are, but there is no reason to think it will happen more frequently than the last 100.