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> They're reporting basically no new cases at this point. It’s like 50-100 new cases every day, looks like. I’m getting out of my depth with what exactly that
by guscost 7y ago
> They're reporting basically no new cases at this point.
It’s like 50-100 new cases every day, looks like. I’m getting out of my depth with what exactly that allows us to rule out, but it sounds like “constantly restarting the chain of transmission” might be the actual reality?
If that drops further, then maybe these new cases are just the ones that incubated longer instead?
- jsnell 7y ago> it sounds like “constantly restarting the chain of transmission” might be the actual reality? Yes, but it's a tiny number of undetected cases restarting the chain, and those chains being detected and lopped off before they have time to go exponential. But it's just not possible that they have tens of thousands of undetected cases that are spreading the virus further. That'd spin out of control quickly.