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But for how long? The stricter the quarantine the longer we have to quarantine to reduce spread. That's the problem. Best estimate is we can reduce daily intera
by lettergram 7y ago
But for how long? The stricter the quarantine the longer we have to quarantine to reduce spread. That's the problem. Best estimate is we can reduce daily interactions by 70%, for the next 12-18 months.
- danharaj 7y agoThe alternative is systemic failure of the healthcare infrastructure and millions of deaths.
- megous 7y agoWe don't know all the alternatives yet.
- danharaj 7y agoThe exponential function is a terrifying beast. Any alternatives we don't know now are irrelevant. There is a reason why NYC is bracing for impact: a tsunami of new cases are about to slam into the healthcare system. Usually Hacker News middlebrow skepticism is just in poor taste. On this topic, it is foolish and farcical. One of our doctor friends is already telling us that her hospital is under stress and she's not in one of the hardest hit states.
- airstrike 7y agoI'm not sure we want to find out