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> ...we would needlessly quarantine 12.5 million people, and fail to quarantine an equal number of infected carriers. Well, the failure the quarantine would be
by zaroth 7y ago
> ...we would needlessly quarantine 12.5 million people, and fail to quarantine an equal number of infected carriers.
Well, the failure the quarantine would be the false negative rate times the infection prevalence. A significantly smaller number than the false quarantine rate, until the whole gadonkun no longer matters.
- donw 7y agoVery true. Mine was a quick back-of-the-envelope calculation based on a highly charitable scenario.