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You didn’t answer my question. What is your plan? It sounds like your plan to deal with an exponential outbreak is to wait a few weeks until you have better te

You didn’t answer my question. What is your plan? It sounds like your plan to deal with an exponential outbreak is to wait a few weeks until you have better testing to see if this is really something to worry about, or if those disaster countries that came before you were just a fluke. Do you not see the problem here? No one is suggesting we don’t test. But the disease is rapidly spreading while we dither about, and if you’re wrong about the CFR, it’ll be way, way too late by the time we know that.

bsaul 7y ago
The only country that has correctly dealt with the virus is SK, because the had the test infra ready to test enough people to actually do science. The others countries have all had debate on optimistic vs precautious solutions, buying time vs saving the economy, but the reality is that none are able to correctly assess the spread of the virus. They can’t do correct science.
- whycombagator 7y ago
  HK/Singapore/Japan numbers also don't seem too bad either[0]. Seems their responses have been pretty good? SK's numbers are higher (last I checked), but I know they had the issue with those religous gatherings hampering their containment efforts. [0] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
whb07 7y ago
I’ll tell you what we do. We don’t shut down the country and destroy millions of lives and future generations. We definitely don’t do it if there’s already overwhelming evidence this impacts the 70+ year old crowd. We can talk dream scenarios if this actually impacted the youth. Because in that case then there’s actual risk to future societies. Have you seen an actuarial table for a 70 year old? Go ahead and tell me those numbers and how they compare to the sub 1% CFR seen in Germany, SG, South Korea and Japan.
- senordevnyc 7y ago
  Still waiting for you to share your plan. We all are well aware of what you think we shouldn’t do. So what should we do?

bsaul 7y ago

The only country that has correctly dealt with the virus is SK, because the had the test infra ready to test enough people to actually do science. The others countries have all had debate on optimistic vs precautious solutions, buying time vs saving the economy, but the reality is that none are able to correctly assess the spread of the virus. They can’t do correct science.

whycombagator 7y ago
HK/Singapore/Japan numbers also don't seem too bad either[0]. Seems their responses have been pretty good? SK's numbers are higher (last I checked), but I know they had the issue with those religous gatherings hampering their containment efforts. [0] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

whb07 7y ago

I’ll tell you what we do. We don’t shut down the country and destroy millions of lives and future generations. We definitely don’t do it if there’s already overwhelming evidence this impacts the 70+ year old crowd. We can talk dream scenarios if this actually impacted the youth. Because in that case then there’s actual risk to future societies. Have you seen an actuarial table for a 70 year old? Go ahead and tell me those numbers and how they compare to the sub 1% CFR seen in Germany, SG, South Korea and Japan.

senordevnyc 7y ago
Still waiting for you to share your plan. We all are well aware of what you think we shouldn’t do. So what should we do?