Is there any evidence beyond the layperson analysis you are submitting here in this comment? My critique of this analysis is that there is no way you are contr

Is there any evidence beyond the layperson analysis you are submitting here in this comment? My critique of this analysis is that there is no way you are controlling for all of the factors: different starting dates for community spread, uneven testing / reporting of cases, random luck due to super-spreading events, differences in behaviors between regions, and so on.