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The thing about exponential growth is that it is slow growing (relatively) in the beginning. This means if we cycled between lockdown and business as usual we c
by lubujackson 7y ago
The thing about exponential growth is that it is slow growing (relatively) in the beginning. This means if we cycled between lockdown and business as usual we can keep things contained quite easily. Not sure what would be most efficient, but something like 1 week lockdown every 2 or 3 weeks would keep the spread minimal until a long-term solution is found. Obviously travel etc. gum up this plan but instead of containment or mitigation we can move to "time gap" reset policy that predicts continous growth/halt of the virus instead of pointlessly trying to eradicate it.
- int_19h 7y agoThe Imperial report suggested this exact thing, but by their estimations, we'd still need to have lockdown in effect about 2/3 of the total time to prevent healthcare systems from getting overwhelmed in US and UK.