3 ms·
Hey guys - owner of the model in question here. Thanks for your feedback, and yes, the model isn't perfect. Idea is just to give some forward-looking picture fo
by maxwhenderson 7y ago
Hey guys - owner of the model in question here. Thanks for your feedback, and yes, the model isn't perfect. Idea is just to give some forward-looking picture for policy-makers to use to make decision.
Interestingly, the model is not nearly as sensitive to R-values as you would think, until they get under 1.5 (half the current observed number in most places).
See here: https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Doubling-time-Average-doubling-time-dots-and-95-CI-vertical-lines-as-a-function-of_fig5_258956572 https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Doubling-time-Average-do...
- ahnick 7y agoReally appreciate you putting this together.