3 ms·

https://covidactnow.org/state/CA https://covidactnow.org/state/CA This is missing a HUGE point. At the very end of the California "shelter-in-place" plan, the

https://covidactnow.org/state/CA https://covidactnow.org/state/CA This is missing a HUGE point. At the very end of the California "shelter-in-place" plan, the numbers will go up. What it doesn't show is that this will merely delay the epidemic to 3 months in the future. The chart useless with only a 3 month time horizon.

klodolph 7y ago
Keep reading. This footnote is attached to the California-style scenario: > * A second spike in disease may occur after social distancing is stopped. Interventions are important because they buy time to create surge capacity in hospitals and develop therapeutic drugs that may have potential to lower hospitalization and fatality rates from COVID-19. See full scenario definitions here.
- pwaivers 7y ago
  Thanks. I did see that, but it should more than a (literal) asterisk at the bottom of the page.
  - klodolph 7y ago
    There’s a balance here between insight and precision. As you make information more precise, you often make it less understandable. If you put the information in the footnote into the table, it makes the table harder to read. As it is, the footnote is right below the table (not at the bottom of the page) and the information about the second spike is BOLD. That stands out to me.
zzleeper 7y ago
If done correctly, it doesn't have to be like that. See Korea, etc
- int_19h 7y ago
  Korea could test their way out of it, because they started early enough to contain it. US is past that point now - the scale of testing that we need to catch all the heretofore undetected cases is much bigger. And we need to find those cases to switch from blanket measures to targeted ones. In the end, that's likely what we'll have to do anyway. But it'll take longer than 3 months.
snewman 7y ago
Try reading https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-th....

klodolph 7y ago

Keep reading. This footnote is attached to the California-style scenario: > * A second spike in disease may occur after social distancing is stopped. Interventions are important because they buy time to create surge capacity in hospitals and develop therapeutic drugs that may have potential to lower hospitalization and fatality rates from COVID-19. See full scenario definitions here.

pwaivers 7y ago
Thanks. I did see that, but it should more than a (literal) asterisk at the bottom of the page.
- klodolph 7y ago
  There’s a balance here between insight and precision. As you make information more precise, you often make it less understandable. If you put the information in the footnote into the table, it makes the table harder to read. As it is, the footnote is right below the table (not at the bottom of the page) and the information about the second spike is BOLD. That stands out to me.

zzleeper 7y ago

If done correctly, it doesn't have to be like that. See Korea, etc

int_19h 7y ago
Korea could test their way out of it, because they started early enough to contain it. US is past that point now - the scale of testing that we need to catch all the heretofore undetected cases is much bigger. And we need to find those cases to switch from blanket measures to targeted ones. In the end, that's likely what we'll have to do anyway. But it'll take longer than 3 months.

snewman 7y ago

Try reading https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-th....