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Snuffing out the virus absolutely is an option. If we adopt a stance that makes R0 < 1, there is no other stochastically possible outcome. Whether we will is an
by asdfasgasdgasdg 7y ago
Snuffing out the virus absolutely is an option. If we adopt a stance that makes R0 < 1, there is no other stochastically possible outcome. Whether we will is another question.
> We will build herd immunity as people contract the virus, develop antibodies and recover from it.
This is a pipe dream, at least outside the context where we are going to accept megadeaths or years of social distancing. The hospital capacity of the US is such that, if we were to run them all at 100% and somehow hold the virus exactly to the level that maximally utilizes ICUs, it would still take the better part of a decade before we got to the point of having herd immunity.
- TheAdamAndChe 7y agoHow is it possible to make R0 < 1 for rural Africa? Or for the remote areas of the world? For something more infectious than the flu? It's impossible, unfortunately. There are billions on the planet without even access to the internet. Many don't have running water or consistent food. How can we get R0 less than 1 there?
- asdfasgasdgasdg 7y ago> How is it possible to make R0 < 1 for rural Africa? Or for the remote areas of the world? For something more infectious than the flu? That's not relevant to the United States if we eradicate domestically and close borders. That said, Africa managed to contain the Ebola epidemic. Let's not underestimate their resolve.