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I think this will open the door for NYC to fully "shelter in place" lockdown, however.
by mattnewton 7y ago
I think this will open the door for NYC to fully "shelter in place" lockdown, however.
- nostromo 7y agoYeah, they're boiling the frog. Each incremental step is normalized over a few days, and then there's a new, stricter mandate.
- throwaway5752 7y agoUltimately, even if 60% of people are massively harmed or inconvenienced by the restrictions it is a life-and-death matter for healthcare workers. Viral load is a problem, and keeping down the infections will reduce patient interactions without adequate PPE and mistakes. It is indicative of a collective societal favor that we're asking nurses, PAs, and doctors to risk there lives for a preventable situation. The risk of a systemic failure to the healthcare system would be a catastrophe.
- s_dev 7y agoOr like Contagion "Nobody can know until everyone knows" -- especially with quarantines because if people think they have early info they will try to leave before it's established exacerbating the exact measures the quarantine is intended to invoke.
- mentat 7y agoExcept the virus is doubling over those days so completely ineffective.
- Retric 7y agoTests are a lagging indicator, the important factor is the R value. R1.5 is vastly better than R2 in the short term but pales beside R0.95. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_modelling_of_infectious_disease https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_modelling_of_infe... Both South Korea and China have successfully gotten below R1, but it’s unclear how long they can maintain that stance.
- kevindong 7y ago> Each incremental step is normalized over a few days So far, the "temperature" has been increased every 1-2 days.