I do agree that people have a bad tendency to trust any numbers they can get over logic and common sense. And in this case the numbers are obviously a lower bou

I do agree that people have a bad tendency to trust any numbers they can get over logic and common sense. And in this case the numbers are obviously a lower bound creating a big bias towards underestimating things. But information on testing numbers is also lagging and incomplete. The CDC was doing over 5k tests per day a week ago when the number of new cases was around 500 per day. And the number of tests were exponentially increasing too. Does anyone have any better info about how much we have ramped up testing since then? It's a big country, and there's huge "publication bias" in the media where stories about a location or person running into testing issues get the attention and stories where things are working do not. I really don't trust anyone's ability to assess the situation at the resolution of 24 hours and make anything like an accurate prediction. I would like to see them just do full-on statistical sampling by testing people at random in different cities.