3 ms·
Have a calculator? # Italian deaths / Italian cases = percentage dead [1] 2_978 / 35_713 = 0.0833870019 # USA population * percentage dead = USA death scenar
by PopeDotNinja 7y ago
Have a calculator?
# Italian deaths / Italian cases = percentage dead [1]
2_978 / 35_713 = 0.0833870019
# USA population * percentage dead = USA death scenario [2]
329_414_824 * 0.0833870019 = 27_468_914
It's prob not gonna get that bad, but Italy didn't see a scenario where people would die at a rate over 8%. So there's a scenario. Don't panic, but also don't dismiss scenarios you'd rather not believe. Americans who get laid off lose access to cheap healthcare, and many as already don't have it. Lack of healthcare doesn't sound like a great a situation.
[1] Source: Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports # 59 for March 19
[2] https://www.census.gov/popclock/ https://www.census.gov/popclock/
- MikeAmelung 7y agoSo the 24% of the US population aged 0-18 is just as likely to die as the "confirmed" cases of COVID-19 in Italy? If anyone does anything but dismiss this stupid ass math, they should panic.
- standardUser 7y agoWe don't really know the death rate in Italy. We shouldn't get too deep in to back-of-napkin math when the data changes every day.
- hilbertseries 7y agoThat's confirmed cases. I doubt Italy is testing many people with mild symptoms, just like the US is also not testing many people with mild symptoms.