Yes, I’m saying that the figures on page 10 imply that the blue curve (on its own) is not effective enough to avoid critically overwhelming the hospital system

Yes, I’m saying that the figures on page 10 imply that the blue curve (on its own) is not effective enough to avoid critically overwhelming the hospital system in the UK in the short term. The guidance towards the measures you see now (nonessential workplace closures, social distancing, restrictions on movement and activity) are what seem to be recommended throughout the rest of the report to suppress the catastrophically high death tolls. If you read further to Figure 4 (page 12) you’ll see a model for “adaptive triggering” of suppressive techniques (basically staggering to allow a resumption of activity before starting again) which would need to be in place until a vaccine has been successfully verified as safe and inoculation has started. EDIT: “Perhaps our most significant conclusion is that _mitigation is unlikely to be feasible_ without emergency surge capacity limits of the UK and US healthcare systems being exceeded many times over. [...] In addition, even if all patients were able to be treated, we predict there would still be in the order of 250,000 deaths in GB, and 1.1-1.2 million in the US. [...] We therefore conclude that _epidemic suppression is the only viable strategy_ at the current time.” Emphasis mine.